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The Public Safety LTE & Mobile Broadband Market: 2014 - 2020
Publication Date Mar 2014
Publisher SNS Telecom
Product Type Report
Pages 261
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Considering its thriving ecosystem, spectrum flexibility and performance metrics, public safety organizations worldwide recognize LTE as the de-facto standard for mission critical mobile broadband communications.

With spectrum already allocated, public safety agencies in the Middle East, Asia Pacific and the U.S have already begun to operate private LTE networks. Driven by public safety demands, LTE products can now also operate in spectrum bands previously unthinkable, such as the 400 MHz band, which is widely available to public safety agencies worldwide. Moreover, demands for tactical and rapidly deployable broadband solutions have also led vendors to develop private LTE base station products in a variety of innovative form factors such as Cell in a Box (CIAB) or airborne cells.

SNS Research estimates the global spending on private LTE infrastructure including base stations (eNodeBs), mobile core (EPC) and backhaul will account for $2 Billion annually by the end of 2020. By the same time, the installed base of private public safety LTE base stations (eNode Bs) will reach nearly 155,000 globally, following a CAGR of nearly 60% between 2014 and 2020, and will serve nearly 4 Million private public safety LTE subscribers worldwide.

However it is important to note that the transition to LTE is one of the will be one of the most complex technical changes the public safety communications industry will ever witness and will present challenges in its own right, particularly in the context of global standardization. Furthermore spectrum, regulatory and budgetary issues in certain regions such as Europe will delay large scale private deployments.

Nonetheless, service prioritization partnerships with commercial LTE network carriers will create an ecosystem for operating public safety devices over commercial LTE networks during this transition period. We estimate that public safety LTE device shipments over commercial networks will account for nearly $7 Billion in annual revenue by the end of 2020.

The "The Public Safety LTE & Mobile Broadband Market: 2014 - 2020" report presents an in-depth assessment of the global public safety LTE market, besides considering the wider LMR and mobile broadband industries. In addition to covering the business case, challenges, spectrum allocation strategies, industry roadmap, deployment case studies, vendor products, strategies, standardization activities and application ecosystem for public safety LTE, the report also presents comprehensive forecasts for mobile broadband,  LMR and public safety LTE subscriptions from 2011 till 2020. Also covered are public safety LTE service revenues as well as device and infrastructure (eNodeB base stations, EPC mobile core, backhaul) shipment and associated revenue forecasts.

The report comes with an associated XLS datasheet covering quantitative data from all figures presented within the report, as well as a list and associated details of 46 global private public safety LTE network deployments (as of Q1’2014).

Key Findings:
The report has the following key findings:
 - Global spending on private LTE infrastructure including base stations (eNodeBs), mobile core (EPC) and backhaul will account for $2 Billion annually by the end of 2020
 - By the same time, the installed base of private public safety LTE base stations (eNodeBs) will reach nearly 155,000, following a CAGR of nearly 60% between 2014 and 2020, and will serve nearly 4 Million private public safety LTE subscribers worldwide
 - As much as 15% of all public safety LTE investments will be military centric tactical deployments by 2020
 - Commercial carriers and public safety MVNOs will pocket nearly $7 Billion in public safety LTE service revenues by the end of 2020, following growth at a CAGR of 40% between 2014 and 2020
 - A large nationwide deployment such as FirstNet in the U.S. can save up to 40% in TCO (Total Cost of Ownership) over 10-years by opting for a public-private partnership rather than a private only investment
 - Almost all major LMR industry players are leveraging partnerships with established LTE infrastructure vendors such as Ericsson,  Alcatel-Lucent and NSN, to offer end-to-end LTE solutions

Topics Covered:
The report covers the following topics:
 - Business case for public safety LTE and mobile broadband services
 - Key benefits of public safety LTE and mobile broadband
 - Challenges to public safety LTE adoption
 - Public safety agency, network operator and vendor commitments to public safety LTE
 - List of private public safety LTE deployments worldwide
 - Public safety LTE deployment case studies
 - The industry roadmap for the public safety mobile broadband in general and the LTE market in particular
 - Public safety LTE deployment and funding models
 - Spectrum allocation for public safety LTE
 - Public safety LTE applications ecosystem
 - Public safety LTE vendor assessment and strategies
 - Profiles of over 100 players in the public safety LTE ecosystem
 - Public safety LTE standardization
 - Total Cost of Ownership (TCO) analysis of private and commercial public safety LTE deployments
 - Military and tactical LTE deployments
 - Public safety LTE base station form factor analysis
 - Exclusive interview transcripts from 7 industry players including Airbus, Motorola Solutions and General Dynamics
 - Strategic recommendations for vendors, system integrators, public safety agencies and wireless carriers
 - Market analysis and forecasts from 2011 till 2020


Forecast Segmentation:
Market forecasts and historical figures are provided for each of the following submarkets:

Public Safety LTE Base Station (eNodeB) Shipments, Revenue & Installed Base
Network Categories
  - Private LTE
  - Commercial LTE
Form Factor Categories
  - Macrocell
  - Small Cell
  - Relay Node
  - Tactical Cell on Wheel (COW)
  - Tactical Cell in a Box (CIAB)
  - Airborne Cell

Additional Forecasts for Pubic Safety LTE Infrastructure
  - Public Safety LTE Mobile Core (EPC) Investments
  - Public Safety LTE Backhaul Investments


Public Safety LTE Device Shipments & Revenue
Network Categories
  - Private LTE
  - Commercial LTE
Form Factor Categories
  - Handportable LMR Terminal
  - Mobile (In-Vehicle) LMR Terminal
  - Notebook PC
  - USB Dongle
  - Smartphone
  - PDA

Public Safety LTE Subscriptions & Service Revenue
  - Private LTE
  - Commercial LTE

Public Safety User Subscriptions over Private Mobile Broadband
  - Private LTE
  - Private WiMAX

Public Safety User Subscriptions over Commercial Mobile Broadband
  - LTE
  - WiMAX
  - W-CDMA
  - HSPA
  - CDMA2000
  - EV-DO

LMR Subscriptions
  - P25
  - TETRA
  - Tetrapol
  - dPMR
  - NXND
  - PDT
  - Analog Radio

LMR Data Subscriptions
  - TETRA
  - TETRA TEDS
  - P25 Phase 1
  - P25 Phase 2
  - Tetropol

The following regional  markets are also covered:

Regional Markets
  - Asia Pacific
  - Eastern Europe
  - Latin & Central America
  - Middle East & Africa
  - North America
  - Western Europe


Key Questions Answered:
The report provides answers to the following key questions:
 - Which countries will be the first to deploy and adopt LTE for public safety applications?
 - How many private public safety LTE base stations (eNodeBs) will ship in 2020, and how will these compare to the wider commercial LTE market?
 - How much will be invested on mobile core (EPC) and backhaul infrastructure to support private public safety LTE deployments?
 - How will the VoLTE ecosystem evolve and how will this impact PTT and voice services for public safety LTE?
 - When will standardized mission-critical voice communications and proximity services see large scale proliferation in the public safety LTE market?
 - How much revenue will the public safety LTE application ecosystem generate in 2020?
 - How will public safety LTE device shipments vary by form factor (handheld LMR terminals, mobile in-vehicle LMR modems, notebook PCs, USB dongles, smartphones, PDAs) overtime?
 - Is the 400 MHZ spectrum realistically feasible to support public safety LTE applications?
 - What are the prospects of tactical, rapidly deployable and airborne LTE solutions?
 - Does Huawei stand a chance in the public safety LTE market outside of Asia?
 - Which vendors and system integrators are the most successful in the public safety LTE market?
 - How many first responders rely on private and commercial mobile broadband networks for their daily tasks?
 - How will private and commercial public safety LTE subscriptions compare in 2020?
 - How will public safety LTE subscriptions compare to other mobile broadband technologies such as WiMAX and HSPA in 2020?
 - What opportunities exist for commercial wireless carriers and MVNOs in the public safety LTE market?

Companies Mentioned:

3GPP (Third Generation Partnership Project)
7 layers AG
Abu Dhabi Police
ACMA (Australian Communications and Media Authority)
Aculab
Adax
ADCOM911 (Adams County Communication Center)
Aeroflex
Airbus Defence and Space (Formerly Cassidian)
Airbus Group
Airspan Networks
Airwave
Alcatel-Lucent
Amdocs
Anritsu
APCO (Association of Public-Safety Communications Officials-International)
Apple
ARASKOM
Aricent Group
Artevea
ASTRID
ASTRO Solutions
AT&T Mobility
ATIS (Alliance for Telecommunications Industry Solutions)
Atlas Telecom
Aviat Networks
Avtec
Axell Wireless
Axis Communications
BAE Systems
BASE (Belgium)
BayWEB (Bay Area Wireless Enhanced Broadband system)
BFDX
BlackBerry
Bosch Security Systems
Brazilian Army
Bridgewater
Broadcom
C4i
CalAmp
Canadian Advanced Technology Alliance
Catalyst Communications
CCTI (Catalyst Communications Technologies Inc)
China Mobile
Cimarron Technologies
Cisco
CITIG (Canadian Interoperability Technology Interest Group)
City of Charlotte
City of Fort Worth
City of Irving
City of New Orleans
City of Pembroke Pine
Cobham
CommScope
Covia Labs
DAMM Cellular Systems A/S
Daniels Electronics Ltd
DAPage Notifications
DataNet Software
Dubai Police
Dutch Police
EADS
Eastcom
EENA (European Emergency Number Association)
EF Johnson
Ericsson
ETELM
Etherstack
ETSI (European Telecommunications Standards Institute)
Eventide
EXACOM
Exalt Communications
Exelis
Facebook
FEMA (Federal Emergency Management Agency)
FCC (Federal Communications Commission)
FirstNet (First Responder Network Authority)
French Armed Forces
FREQUENTIS AG
General Dynamics
General Dynamics C4 Systems
German Armed Forces
Germany Army
Google
Harris
Harris County
HigherGround
Hitachi
Honeywell
Hong Kong Police Force
HQT Radio
HTC
Huawei
Hughes
Hytera
iCOM
ICOM America
Imtradex
Intel
InterDigital
InterSec
Intrado
IPWireless
ITT Corporation
ITU (International Telecommunications Union)
Japan Radio Company
JDI (JING DENG INDUSTRIAL)
Jordanian Armed Forces
JVC Kenwood
Kapsch CarrierCom
Kelrad Software
Kenwood
Kirisun
Kodiak Networks
KPN
L-3 Communications
LA-RICS (Los Angeles Regional Interoperable Communications System)
Las Vegas Metropolitan Police Department
Lemko
Lenovo
LG Electronics
LG Uplus
LiveViewGPS
Lockheed Martin
Mentura Group
MetroPCS
Miami Dade Police Department
Miami-Dade County
Ministry of Communications, Libya
Ministry of Public Security (MPS), China
Mobistar
MODUCOM
Moscow Police
Motorola Mobility (Part of Lenovo)
Motorola Solutions
Mutualink
National Rail (UK)
NATO (North Atlantic Treaty Organization)
NEC
Net4Mobility
NetMotion Wireless
Nevada Department of Transportation
New York Police Department
New Zealand Police
NextNav
NIST (National Institute of Standards and Technology)
Nokia
Nokia Solutions & Networks (NSN)
Northrop Grumman
NPSTC (National Public Safety Telecommunications Council)
nTerop
NTIA (National Telecommunications and Information Administration)
NVA (Networked Vehicle Association)
NYCWiN  (New York City Wireless Network)
Oceus Networks
OMA (Open Mobile Alliance)
Oman Royal Office
Ontario Ministry of Transportation
ONTHEGODEVICES LLC
OpenSignal
Panasonic
Panorama Antennas
Phonak
Piciorgros (Funk-Electronic Piciorgros GmbH)
Pikewerks Corporation
Polaris
Police Federation of Australia
Portalify
POTEVIO International
PowerTrunk
Proximus
PSCR (Public Safety Communications Research)
Putian
Puxing Radio
Pyramid Communications
Qatar Armed Forces
Qatar MOI (Ministry of Interior)
Qualcomm
RACOM
Radio IP
Radisys
RAVEN Electronics Corporation
Raytheon
Reality Mobile
RELM Wireless
Réseau Ferré de France (RFF)
Rivada Networks
Rohde & Schwarz
Rohill
Royal Canadian Mounted Police
SAIC (Science Applications International Corporation)
Samsung
SANG (Saudi Arabian National Guard)
Sao Paulo Military Police
Sapura Secured Technologies
SaskTel
Saudi MOI (Ministry of Interior)
Savox Communications
Selex ES
Sepura
SETAR
Shanghai Police
Siemens
Signalion
Simoco
SiRRAN
SK Telecom
SmithMicro
Sonic Communications
Sony
Space Data
Star Solutions
State of Louisiana
State of Mississippi
State of New Jersey
State of New Mexico
State of Oklahoma
Stop Noise
SyTech Corporation
Tait
TCCA (TETRA and Critical Communications Association)
TCS (TeleCommunication Systems)
TD Industry Alliance(TDIA)
Techosonic Industries
Tecore Networks
Telenet
Televate, LLC
TELEX
Teltronic
Telum
TETRAtab
Texas Instruments
Thales
The Genesis Group
TIA (Telecommunications Industry Association)
TITAN Communication Systems
T-Mobile
Toshiba
Trident Microsystems
Turkish National Police Force
Twisted Pair Solutions
U.K. Home Office
U.S. Army
U.S. Cellular
U.S. Coast Guard
U.S. Department of Commerce
U.S. Department of Defense
U.S. Department of Homeland Security
U.S. Navy
U.S. Special Operations Command (SOCOM)
UIC (International Union of Railways)
UNIMO Technology
University of Ottawa
USPTO (U.S. Patent and Trademark Office)
Utility
Verizon Wireless
Vidyo
Vodafone
Voice Print International
West Australian Police
Zetron
Zhengzhou Metro
ZTE

1.1    Executive Summary    15
1.2    Key Findings    18
1.3    Topics Covered    19
1.4    Forecast Segmentation    20
1.5    Key Questions Answered    22
1.6    Methodology    24
1.7    Target Audience    25
1.8    Companies Mentioned    26
2    Chapter 2: An Overview of the Public Safety Mobile Broadband Market    31
2.1    Narrowband Land Mobile Radio (LMR) Systems in Public Safety    31
2.1.1    LMR Market Size    32
2.1.3    The Limitations of LMR Data Capabilities    33
2.1.2    The Perceived Role of Mobile Broadband in Public Safety Scenarios    33
2.3    How big is the Mobile Broadband Market?    34
2.2    Mobile Broadband for Public Safety    34
2.2.1    Partnerships with Commercial Carriers    34
2.2.2    Private LTE and WiMAX Deployments    34
2.3.2    What are the Growth Drivers?    35
2.3.1    Will the Public Safety Segment Witness the Same Level of Growth as the Consumer Segment?    35
2.3.3    LMR Systems will Continue to Support Mission-Critical Voice    37
2.5.1    Performance Metrics    38
2.5    Why LTE?    38
2.4    Why use Commercial Mobile Broadband Technology for Public Safety    38
2.5.3    A Thriving Ecosystem    39
2.5.2    Coexistence, Interoperability and Spectrum Flexibility    39
2.5.4    OPEX Reduction    39
2.6    Public Safety LTE Technology & Architecture    41
2.6.1    E-UTRAN - LTE Radio Access Network    42
2.6.2    TDD vs. FDD    43
2.6.3    UE (User Equipment)    43
2.6.3.1    USB Data Cards    43
2.6.3.3    Smartphones & Handheld LMR Terminals    44
2.6.3.4    Tablets & Laptops    44
2.6.3.2    Vehicular Modems    44
2.6.4.2    PGW (Packet Data Network Gateway)    45
2.6.4    Public Safety LTE EPC (Evolved Packet Core)    45
2.6.4.1    SGW (Serving Gateway)    45
2.6.4.4    HSS (Home Subscriber Server)    46
2.6.4.3    MME (Mobility Management Entity)    46
2.6.4.5    PCRF (Policy Charging and Rules Function)    46
2.6.5    LMR Network Integration and Inter-Working    47
2.6.7    Inter-System Roaming    48
2.6.8    Intra-System Roaming to Commercial Carriers    48
2.6.6    Support for Roaming in Public Safety LTE    48
2.6.9    The Evolution to LTE-Advanced and its Implications for Public Safety    49
2.7.1    Private Public Satiety LTE Network Deployments    50
2.7.3    Public Safety LTE Access over Commercial Networks    50
2.7    Public Safety LTE Deployment Models    50
2.7.2    Shared Commercial Public Safety LTE (Private-Public Partnerships)    50
2.8.1    Built, Owned and Operated by Integrator/Vendor    51
2.8    Funding Models for Private Public Safety LTE Network Deployment    51
2.7.4    Hosted Core Public Safety LTE Networks    51
2.8.2    Owned and Operated by the Government Authority    51
2.8.3    Local Agency Hosted Core    52
2.8.4    Multiple Networks    52
2.9.3    Bandwidth Flexibility    53
2.9.2    Economic Feasibility    53
2.9.1    Higher throughput and Low Latency    53
2.9.4    Spectral Efficiency    53
2.9    The Public Safety LTE Business Case    53
2.9.6    Lack of Competition from Other Standards    54
2.9.5    Regional Interoperability    54
2.9.8    Commitments by Infrastructure and Device vendors    55
2.9.7    Endorsement from the Public Safety Community    55
2.9.9    Quality of Service (QoS) & Priority Provisioning    56
2.9.10    Support for Group Voice & Multimedia Communication    56
2.1    Challenges to the Public Safety LTE Ecosystem    57
2.10.1    Spectrum Allocation    57
2.10.3    Budgetary Issues    58
2.10.2    Interworking with LMR Networks & Standardization    58
2.10.4    Security & Resilience    59
2.10.5    Support for Mission-Critical Voice and Direct Mode-Operation    59
2.10.7    Lack of Specifications for Battery Life in Public Safety Scenarios    60
2.10.6    Smaller Coverage Footprint to Comparison to LMR Systems    60
2.10.8    User Profiles to Fit Public Safety Requirements    61
3    Chapter 3: Public Safety LTE and Mobile Broadband Industry Roadmap    62
3.1    Industry Roadmap    62
3.2    2011 – 2013: The Disparate Networks Era    63
3.3    2014 – 2016: Mission Critical Data over Private LTE    63
3.4    2017 – 2020: Emergence of Mission Critical Voice and Proximity Services    64
3.5    Public Safety LTE Deployment & Trial Case Studies    65
3.5.1    Zhengzhou Metro    65
3.5.2    Harris County    66
3.5.4    Oman Royal Office    67
3.5.3    Qatar MOI    67
3.5.5    Turkish National Police Force    67
3.5.7    China’s Ministry of Public Security    68
3.5.8    German Armed Forces    68
3.5.6    Hong Kong Police Force Trial    68
4    Chapter 4: Public Safety LTE and Mobile Broadband Applications Ecosystem    69
4.1    Mobile Video    69
4.3    GIS, AVLS and Mapping    70
4.2    Mobile Broadband and Seamless Mobile VPN Access    70
4.4    CAD (Computer Aided Dispatching)    71
4.5    Remote Database Access    71
4.6    Telemetry and Remote Diagnostics    71
4.7    Bulk Multimedia/Data Transfers    72
4.9    PTT over LTE    72
4.8    Situational Awareness Applications    72
4.10    The Present State of the Market: What’s on offer    73
4.11    The Numbers: How big is the Public Safety LTE Applications Ecosystem?    74
5.1    7 layers AG    75
5.2    Aculab    75
5    Chapter 5: Public Safety LTE & Mobile Broadband Vendor Assessment    75
5.3    Adax    76
5.4    Aeroflex    76
5.5    Airbus Defence and Space (Formerly Cassidian)    77
5.6    Airspan Networks    78
5.7    Alcatel-Lucent    78
5.8    Amdocs (Bridgewater)    79
5.9    Anritsu    79
5.10    Aricent Group    79
5.11    Artevea    80
5.12    Aviat Networks    81
5.13    Avtec    82
5.14    Axell Wireless (Acquired by Cobham)    82
5.15    Axis Communications    83
5.16    BFDX    83
5.17    Broadcom    84
5.18    CalAmp    84
5.19    CCTI (Catalyst Communications Technologies Inc)    85
5.2    Cisco    85
5.21    Cobham    86
5.22    CommScope    86
5.23    Covia Labs    87
5.24    DAMM Cellular Systems A/S    87
5.25    Eastcom    87
5.26    Ericsson    88
5.27    ETELM    88
5.28    Etherstack    89
5.29    EXACOM    90
5.3    Exalt Communications    90
5.31    Exelis and C4i    90
5.32    FREQUENTIS AG    91
5.33    General Dynamics C4 Systems    92
5.35    Harris    93
5.34    The Genesis Group    93
5.36    Hitachi    94
5.37    Honeywell    95
5.38    HQT Radio    95
5.39    Huawei    95
5.4    Hytera    97
5.41    iCOM    97
5.42    Imtradex    98
5.43    Intel    98
5.44    InterSec    99
5.45    Intrado    99
5.46    Japan Radio Company    100
5.47    JDI (JING DENG INDUSTRIAL)    100
5.48    JVC Kenwood    100
5.49    Kapsch CarrierCom    101
5.5    Kirisun    102
5.51    Kodiak Networks    102
5.52    L-3 Communications    103
5.53    Lemko    103
5.54    LiveViewGPS    104
5.55    Mentura Group    105
5.56    MODUCOM    105
5.57    Motorola Solutions    106
5.58    Mutualink    108
5.59    NEC    108
5.6    NetMotion Wireless    109
5.61    NextNav    109
5.62    NSN (Nokia Solutions & Networks)    110
5.63    Northrop Grumman    111
5.64    nTerop    111
5.65    Oceus Networks    112
5.66    Panasonic    113
5.67    Panorama Antennas    113
5.68    Phonak    114
5.69    Piciorgros (Funk-Electronic Piciorgros GmbH)    114
5.7    Polaris    114
5.71    Portalify Ltd (Acquired by Sepura)    115
5.72    POTEVIO International    115
5.73    PowerTrunk (Teltronic Subsidiary)    116
5.74    Puxing Radio    116
5.75    Qualcomm    116
5.76    RACOM    117
5.77    Radisys    117
5.78    Radio IP    118
5.79    Raytheon    119
5.8    Reality Mobile (ASTRO Solutions)    120
5.81    RELM Wireless    121
5.82    Rivada Networks    121
5.83    Rohill    122
5.84    SAIC (Science Applications International Corporation)    123
5.85    Samsung    123
5.86    Savox Communications    124
5.87    Selex ES    124
5.88    Sepura    125
5.89    Signalion    126
5.9    Simoco    126
5.91    SiRRAN    126
5.92    SmithMicro    127
5.93    Sonic Communications    127
5.94    Space Data    128
5.95    Star Solutions    128
5.96    Stop Noise    129
5.97    Tait    129
5.99    TCS (TeleCommunication Systems)    130
5.98    Tecore Networks    130
5.100    Televate    131
5.101    TELEX (Bosch Security Systems)    131
5.102    Teltronic    132
5.103    Telum    133
5.104    TETRAtab    133
5.105    Thales    134
5.106    TITAN Communication Systems    135
5.107    Toshiba    135
5.108    Twisted Pair Solutions (Acquired by Motorola Solutions)    136
5.109    UNIMO Technology    137
5.110    Utility    137
5.111    Vidyo    138
5.112    Zetron (Part of JVC Kenwood)    138
5.113    ZTE    139
6    Chapter 6: Public Safety LTE Spectrum Allocation Strategies Worldwide    140
6.1    North America    140
6.3    Europe    141
6.2    Latin & Central America    141
6.4    Middle East & Africa    142
6.5    Asia Pacific    143
6.6    The Prospects of Spectrum Harmonization    144
7    Chapter 7: Market Analysis and Forecasts    145
7.1.1    First Responder Data Subscriptions over Public (Commercial) Cellular Networks    145
7.1    The Global Public Safety Mobile Broadband Market    145
7.1.2    First Responder Data Subscriptions Over LMR Networks    146
7.1.3    First Responder Data Subscriptions over Private Mobile Broadband    147
7.1.3.2    Private Public Safety LTE and WiMAX Subscriptions Compared    147
7.1.3.1    The Unreliability of Commercial Cellular Mobile Broadband Networks    147
7.1.4    Private Public Safety LTE Networks    149
7.1.4.1    Subscriptions over Private Public Safety LTE Networks    149
7.1.4.2    Device Shipments over Private Public Safety LTE Networks    151
7.1.4.3    Private Public Safety LTE Network Service Revenue    153
7.1.5    Public Safety LTE over Public (Commercial) LTE Networks    154
7.1.5.1    Public Safety Subscriptions over Commercial LTE Networks    154
7.1.5.2    Public Safety Device Shipments over Commercial LTE Networks    156
7.1.5.3    Public Safety Service Revenue over Commercial LTE Networks    158
7.1.6.1    Private and Commercial Public Safety LTE Subscriptions Compared    159
7.1.6    Private vs. Commercial Public Safety LTE Compared    159
7.1.6.2    Private and Commercial Public Safety LTE Device Shipments Compared    160
7.1.6.3    Private and Commercial Public Safety LTE Service Revenues Compared    161
7.1.7    Public Safety LTE Device Shipments by Form Factor    162
7.1.8.1    Commercial and Private Public Safety LTE eNodeB Shipments Compared    163
7.1.8    Private Public Safety LTE eNodeB Shipments    163
7.1.8.2    Regional Assessment of Private Public Safety LTE eNodeB Shipments    165
7.1.9    Private Public Safety LTE eNodeB Installed Base    166
7.2.1    Asia Pacific    167
7.2.1.1    Private Public Safety LTE Subscriptions, Device Shipments & Service Revenues    167
7.2    Regional Market Assessment    167
7.2.1.2    Commercial Public Safety LTE Subscriptions, Device Shipments & Service Revenues    169
7.2.1.3    Private Public Safety LTE eNodeB Shipments, Revenue & Installed Base    171
7.2.2    North America    173
7.2.2.1    Private Public Safety LTE Subscriptions, Device Shipments & Service Revenues    173
7.2.2.2    Commercial Public Safety LTE Subscriptions, Device Shipments & Service Revenues    175
7.2.2.3    Private Public Safety LTE eNodeB Shipments, Revenue & Installed Base    177
7.2.3    Latin & Central America    179
7.2.3.1    Private Public Safety LTE Subscriptions, Device Shipments & Service Revenues    179
7.2.3.2    Commercial Public Safety LTE Subscriptions, Device Shipments & Service Revenues    181
7.2.3.3    Private Public Safety LTE eNodeB Shipments, Revenue & Installed Base    183
7.2.4    Middle East & Africa    185
7.2.4.1    Private Public Safety LTE Subscriptions, Device Shipments & Service Revenues    185
7.2.4.2    Commercial Public Safety LTE Subscriptions, Device Shipments & Service Revenues    187
7.2.4.3    Private Public Safety LTE eNodeB Shipments, Revenue & Installed Base    189
7.2.5    Eastern Europe    191
7.2.5.1    Private Public Safety LTE Subscriptions, Device Shipments & Service Revenues    191
7.2.5.2    Commercial Public Safety LTE Subscriptions, Device Shipments & Service Revenues    193
7.2.5.3    Private Public Safety LTE eNodeB Shipments, Revenue & Installed Base    195
7.2.6.1    Private Public Safety LTE Subscriptions, Device Shipments & Service Revenues    197
7.2.6    Western Europe    197
7.2.6.2    Commercial Public Safety LTE Subscriptions, Device Shipments & Service Revenues    199
7.2.6.3    Private Public Safety LTE eNodeB Shipments, Revenue & Installed Base    201
8    Chapter 8: Standardization & Regulatory Initiatives    203
8.2    NIST (National Institute of Standards and Technology)    203
8.1    NPSTC (National Public Safety Telecommunications Council)    203
8.3    NTIA (National Telecommunications and Information Administration)    204
8.4    PSCR (Public Safety Communications Research)    204
8.6    3GPP (Third Generation Partnership Project)    205
8.5    APCO (Association of Public-Safety Communications Officials-International)    205
8.7    TCCA (TETRA and Critical Communications Association)    205
8.8    ETSI (European Telecommunications Standards Institute)    206
8.9    UIC (International Union of Railways)    206
8.10    ATIS (Alliance for Telecommunications Industry Solutions)    207
8.11    TIA (Telecommunications Industry Association)    207
8.12    Features for Public Safety LTE Standardization    208
8.12.1    Group Communications    208
8.12.2    Proximity based Services (3GPP ProSe)    208
8.12.4    PTT Voice Application Standardization    210
8.12.3    Resilience    210
8.12.5    Higher Power Terminals (UEs) for Public Safety Requirements    211
9    Chapter 9: Conclusion and Strategic Recommendations    212
9.1    How Big is the Private Public Safety LTE/EPC Mobile Core Market?    212
9.2    Backhaul Investments to Support Public Safety LTE    213
9.4.1    Funding Prospects    214
9.3    Military & Tactical Deployments    214
9.4    Prospects of FirstNet    214
9.4.2    Is Funding the Key Constraint?    215
9.4.3    Technical Constraints    215
9.4.5    Halt of Early LTE Deployments: Good or Bad?    216
9.4.4    Moving Towards the Applications Ecosystem    216
9.5.1    Prospects of 400 MHz LTE    217
9.5    Spectrum: Will 700 MHz Gear Dominate the Market Worldwide?    217
9.5.2    TD-LTE and Opportunities for Higher Bands in Public Safety    218
9.6.1    Case Study: UK Home Office    219
9.6    Proposals for Wholly Commercial Public Safety LTE Networks    219
9.8    Revenue Prospects for Commercial Carriers    220
9.7    The Public Safety LTE MVNO Opportunity    220
9.9    TCO Analysis: Private LTE vs. Public-Private Partnerships    221
9.10    Mission Critical PTT over LTE    222
9.10.1    Off-Network PTT/LTE-Direct: A Long Road Ahead    222
9.11    Standardization & Interoperability: The Key to a Successful Ecosystem    223
9.12    Vendor Alliances: Are there more to come?    223
9.13    What Cell Types will Public Safety LTE Networks Encompass?    224
9.13.1    Macrocells    226
9.13.2    Small Cells    227
9.13.3    Macrocell Relay Nodes    228
9.13.4    Tactical Cells on Wheels (COWs)    229
9.13.5    Tactical Cells in a Box (CIABs)    230
9.13.6    Airborne Cells    231
9.14.1    Recommendations for LMR Vendors/Integrators    232
9.14.2    Recommendations for LTE Infrastructure Vendors    232
9.14    Strategic Recommendations    232
9.14.3    Recommendations for Public Safety Agencies    233
9.14.4    Recommendations for Commercial Wireless Carriers    234
10.1    Airbus Defence and Space (Formerly Cassidian)    235
10    Chapter 10: Expert Opinion – Interview Transcripts    235
10.2    General Dynamics C4 Systems    240
10.3    Motorola Solutions    244
10.4    Mentura Group    250
10.5    InterSec    253
10.6    Aculab    256
10.7    Anritsu    259
        
List of Figures        
    Figure 1: Global Land Mobile Radio (LMR) Subscriptions by Technology: 2011 – 2020 (Millions)    35
    Figure 2: Global Mobile Broadband Subscriptions by Technology: 2011 – 2020 (Millions)    38
    Figure 3: Purpose of Using Mobile Broadband for Public Safety Applications (Survey Results - 2011 & 2013)    39
    Figure 4: Global LTE Subscriptions: 2011 – 2020 (Millions)    43
    Figure 5: Public Safety LTE Network Architecture    44
    Figure 6: Global Voice over LTE (VoLTE) Subscriptions: 2011 – 2020 (Millions)    50
    Figure 7: Public Safety LTE Industry Roadmap    65
    Figure 8: Global Mobile Video Surveillance Market: 2011 – 2020 ($ Million)    72
    Figure 9: PTT over LTE Application    76
    Figure 10: The Public Safety LTE/Broadband Applications Market: 2011 – 2020 ($ Million)    77
    Figure 11: Global First Responder Data Subscriptions over Public Cellular Networks by Technology (Millions) 2011 - 2020    149
    Figure 12: Global First Responder Data Subscriptions over LMR Networks by Technology (Thousands) 2011 - 2020    149
    Figure 13: Global First Responder Data Subscriptions over Private Mobile Broadband Networks by Technology (Thousands): 2011 - 2020    150
    Figure 14: Global First Responder Subscriptions over Private Public Safety LTE Networks (Thousands): 2011 - 2020    152
    Figure 15: First Responder Subscriptions over Private Public Safety LTE Networks by Region (Thousands): 2011 - 2020    153
    Figure 16: Global First Responder Data Device Shipments over Private Public Safety LTE Networks (Thousands): 2011 - 2020    154
    Figure 17: Global First Responder Data Device Shipment Revenue over Private Public Safety LTE Networks ($ Million): 2011 - 2020    154
    Figure 18: First Responder Data Device Shipments over Private Public Safety LTE Networks by Region (Thousands): 2011 - 2020    155
    Figure 19: First Responder Data Device Shipment Revenue over Private Public Safety LTE Networks by Region ($ Million): 2011 - 2020    155
    Figure 20: Global Service Revenue over Private Public Safety LTE Networks ($ Million): 2011 - 2020    156
    Figure 21: Service Revenue over Private Public Safety LTE Networks by Region ($ Million): 2011 - 2020    156
    Figure 22: Global First Responder Subscriptions over Commercial LTE Networks (Thousands): 2011 - 2020    157
    Figure 23: Global First Responder Subscriptions over Commercial LTE Networks by Region (Thousands): 2011 - 2020    158
    Figure 24: Global First Responder Data Device Shipments over Commercial LTE Networks (Thousands): 2011 - 2020    159
    Figure 25: Global First Responder Data Device Shipment Revenue over Commercial LTE Networks ($ Million): 2011 - 2020    159
    Figure 26: First Responder Data Device Shipments over Commercial LTE Networks by Region (Thousands): 2011 - 2020    160
    Figure 27: First Responder Data Device Shipment Revenue over Commercial LTE Networks by Region ($ Million): 2011 - 2020    160
    Figure 28: Global Public Safety Service Revenue over Commercial LTE Networks ($ Million): 2011 - 2020    161
    Figure 29: Public Safety Service Revenue over Commercial LTE Networks by Region ($ Million): 2011 - 2020    161
    Figure 30: Private vs. Commercial Public Safety LTE Subscriptions Compared (Thousands): 2011 - 2020    162
    Figure 31: Private vs. Commercial Public Safety LTE Device Shipments Compared (Thousands): 2011 - 2020    163
    Figure 32: Private vs. Commercial Public Safety LTE Device Shipments Revenues Compared ($ Million): 2011 - 2020    163
    Figure 33: Private vs. Commercial Public Safety LTE Service Revenues Compared ($ Million): 2011 - 2020    164
    Figure 34: Public Safety LTE Device Shipments by Category (Thousands): 2011 - 2020    165
    Figure 35: Global Private (Public Safety) and Commercial LTE eNodeB Shipments Compared: 2011 - 2020    166
    Figure 36: Global Private (Public Safety) and Commercial LTE eNodeB Shipment Revenues Compared ($ Million): 2011 - 2020    167
    Figure 37: Private (Public Safety) LTE eNodeB Shipments by Region: 2011 - 2020    168
    Figure 38: Private (Public Safety) LTE eNodeB Shipment Revenue by Region ($ Million): 2011 - 2020    168
    Figure 39: Private (Public Safety) LTE eNodeB Installed Base by Region: 2011 - 2020    169
    Figure 40: First Responder Subscriptions over Private Public Safety LTE Networks in Asia Pacific (Thousands): 2011 – 2020    170
    Figure 41: First Responder Data Device Shipments over Private Public Safety LTE Networks in Asia Pacific (Thousands): 2011 – 2020    170
    Figure 42: First Responder Data Device Shipment Revenue over Private LTE Public Safety LTE Networks in Asia Pacific ($ Million): 2011 – 2020    171
    Figure 43: Service Revenue over Private Public Safety LTE Networks in Asia Pacific ($ Million): 2011 – 2020    171
    Figure 44: First Responder Subscriptions over Commercial LTE Networks in Asia Pacific (Thousands): 2011 – 2020    172
    Figure 45: First Responder Data Device Shipments over Commercial LTE Networks in Asia Pacific (Thousands): 2011 – 2020    172
    Figure 46: First Responder Data Device Shipment Revenue over Commercial LTE Networks in Asia Pacific ($ Million): 2011 – 2020    173
    Figure 47: Public Safety Service Revenue over Commercial LTE Networks in Asia Pacific ($ Million): 2011 - 2020    173
    Figure 48: Private (Public Safety) LTE eNodeB Shipments in Asia Pacific: 2011 – 2020    174
    Figure 49: Private (Public Safety) LTE eNodeB Shipment Revenue in Asia Pacific ($ Million): 2011 – 2020    174
    Figure 50: Private (Public Safety) LTE eNodeB Installed Base in Asia Pacific: 2011 - 2020    175
    Figure 51: First Responder Subscriptions over Private Public Safety LTE Networks in North America (Thousands): 2011 – 2020    176
    Figure 52: First Responder Data Device Shipments over Private Public Safety LTE Networks in North America (Thousands): 2011 – 2020    176
    Figure 53: First Responder Data Device Shipment Revenue over Private LTE Public Safety LTE Networks in North America ($ Million): 2011 – 2020    177
    Figure 54: Service Revenue over Private Public Safety LTE Networks in North America ($ Million): 2011 – 2020    177
    Figure 55: First Responder Subscriptions over Commercial LTE Networks in North America (Thousands): 2011 – 2020    178
    Figure 56: First Responder Data Device Shipments over Commercial LTE Networks in North America (Thousands): 2011 – 2020    178
    Figure 57: First Responder Data Device Shipment Revenue over Commercial LTE Networks in North America ($ Million): 2011 – 2020    179
    Figure 58: Public Safety Service Revenue over Commercial LTE Networks in North America ($ Million): 2011 - 2020    179
    Figure 59: Private (Public Safety) LTE eNodeB Shipments in North America: 2011 – 2020    180
    Figure 60: Private (Public Safety) LTE eNodeB Shipment Revenue in North America ($ Million): 2011 – 2020    180
    Figure 61: Private (Public Safety) LTE eNodeB Installed Base in North America: 2011 - 2020    181
    Figure 62: First Responder Subscriptions over Private Public Safety LTE Networks in Latin & Central America (Thousands): 2011 – 2020    182
    Figure 63: First Responder Data Device Shipments over Private Public Safety LTE Networks in Latin & Central America (Thousands): 2011 – 2020    182
    Figure 64: First Responder Data Device Shipment Revenue over Private LTE Public Safety LTE Networks in Latin & Central America ($ Million): 2011 – 2020    183
    Figure 65: Service Revenue over Private Public Safety LTE Networks in Latin & Central America ($ Million): 2011 – 2020    183
    Figure 66: First Responder Subscriptions over Commercial LTE Networks in Latin & Central America (Thousands): 2011 – 2020    184
    Figure 67: First Responder Data Device Shipments over Commercial LTE Networks in Latin & Central America (Thousands): 2011 – 2020    184
    Figure 68: First Responder Data Device Shipment Revenue over Commercial LTE Networks in Latin & Central America ($ Million): 2011 – 2020    185
    Figure 69: Public Safety Service Revenue over Commercial LTE Networks in Latin & Central America ($ Million): 2011 - 2020    185
    Figure 70: Private (Public Safety) LTE eNodeB Shipments in Latin & Central America: 2011 – 2020    186
    Figure 71: Private (Public Safety) LTE eNodeB Shipment Revenue in Latin & Central America ($ Million): 2011 – 2020    186
    Figure 72: Private (Public Safety) LTE eNodeB Installed Base in Latin & Central America: 2011 - 2020    187
    Figure 73: First Responder Subscriptions over Private Public Safety LTE Networks in Middle East & Africa (Thousands): 2011 – 2020    188
    Figure 74: First Responder Data Device Shipments over Private Public Safety LTE Networks in Middle East & Africa (Thousands): 2011 – 2020    188
    Figure 75: First Responder Data Device Shipment Revenue over Private LTE Public Safety LTE Networks in Middle East & Africa ($ Million): 2011 – 2020    189
    Figure 76: Service Revenue over Private Public Safety LTE Networks in Middle East & Africa ($ Million): 2011 – 2020    189
    Figure 77: First Responder Subscriptions over Commercial LTE Networks in Middle East & Africa (Thousands): 2011 – 2020    190
    Figure 78: First Responder Data Device Shipments over Commercial LTE Networks in Middle East & Africa (Thousands): 2011 – 2020    190
    Figure 79: First Responder Data Device Shipment Revenue over Commercial LTE Networks in Middle East & Africa ($ Million): 2011 – 2020    191
    Figure 80: Public Safety Service Revenue over Commercial LTE Networks in Middle East & Africa ($ Million): 2011 - 2020    191
    Figure 81: Private (Public Safety) LTE eNodeB Shipments in Middle East & Africa: 2011 – 2020    192
    Figure 82: Private (Public Safety) LTE eNodeB Shipment Revenue in Middle East & Africa ($ Million): 2011 – 2020    192
    Figure 83: Private (Public Safety) LTE eNodeB Installed Base in Middle East & Africa: 2011 - 2020    193
    Figure 84: First Responder Subscriptions over Private Public Safety LTE Networks in Eastern Europe (Thousands): 2011 – 2020    194
    Figure 85: First Responder Data Device Shipments over Private Public Safety LTE Networks in Eastern Europe (Thousands): 2011 – 2020    194
    Figure 86: First Responder Data Device Shipment Revenue over Private LTE Public Safety LTE Networks in Eastern Europe ($ Million): 2011 – 2020    195
    Figure 87: Service Revenue over Private Public Safety LTE Networks in Eastern Europe ($ Million): 2011 – 2020    195
    Figure 88: First Responder Subscriptions over Commercial LTE Networks in Eastern Europe (Thousands): 2011 – 2020    196
    Figure 89: First Responder Data Device Shipments over Commercial LTE Networks in Eastern Europe (Thousands): 2011 – 2020    196
    Figure 90: First Responder Data Device Shipment Revenue over Commercial LTE Networks in Eastern Europe ($ Million): 2011 – 2020    197
    Figure 91: Public Safety Service Revenue over Commercial LTE Networks in Eastern Europe ($ Million): 2011 - 2020    197
    Figure 92: Private (Public Safety) LTE eNodeB Shipments in Eastern Europe: 2011 – 2020    198
    Figure 93: Private (Public Safety) LTE eNodeB Shipment Revenue in Eastern Europe ($ Million): 2011 – 2020    198
    Figure 94: Private (Public Safety) LTE eNodeB Installed Base in Eastern Europe: 2011 - 2020    199
    Figure 95: First Responder Subscriptions over Private Public Safety LTE Networks in Western Europe (Thousands): 2011 – 2020    200
    Figure 96: First Responder Data Device Shipments over Private Public Safety LTE Networks in Western Europe (Thousands): 2011 – 2020    200
    Figure 97: First Responder Data Device Shipment Revenue over Private LTE Public Safety LTE Networks in Western Europe ($ Million): 2011 – 2020    201
    Figure 98: Service Revenue over Private Public Safety LTE Networks in Western Europe ($ Million): 2011 – 2020    201
    Figure 99: First Responder Subscriptions over Commercial LTE Networks in Western Europe (Thousands): 2011 – 2020    202
    Figure 100: First Responder Data Device Shipments over Commercial LTE Networks in Western Europe (Thousands): 2011 – 2020    202
    Figure 101: First Responder Data Device Shipment Revenue over Commercial LTE Networks in Western Europe ($ Million): 2011 – 2020    203
    Figure 102: Public Safety Service Revenue over Commercial LTE Networks in Western Europe ($ Million): 2011 - 2020    203
    Figure 103: Private (Public Safety) LTE eNodeB Shipments in Western Europe: 2011 – 2020    204
    Figure 104: Private (Public Safety) LTE eNodeB Shipment Revenue in Western Europe ($ Million): 2011 – 2020    204
    Figure 105: Private (Public Safety) LTE eNodeB Installed Base in Western Europe: 2011 - 2020    205
    Figure 106: LTE Proximity Service (ProSe) Examples    212
    Figure 107: Global Private (Public Safety) and Commercial LTE EPC/Mobile Core Revenues Compared ($ Million): 2011 - 2020    215
    Figure 108: Global Private (Public Safety) LTE Backhaul Investments ($ Million): 2011 - 2020    216
    Figure 109: TCO Comparison for Private LTE vs. Public-Private Partnership    224
    Figure 110: Global Private (Public Safety) LTE eNodeB Shipments by Cell Type: 2011 - 2020    227
    Figure 111: Global Private (Public Safety) LTE eNodeB Installed Base by Cell Type: 2011 - 2020    228
    Figure 112: Global Private (Public Safety) LTE Macrocell eNodeB Installed Base: 2011 - 2020    229
    Figure 113: Global Private (Public Safety) LTE Small Cell eNodeB Installed Base: 2011 - 2020    230
    Figure 114: Global Private (Public Safety) LTE Macrocell Relay eNodeB Installed Base: 2011 - 2020    231
    Figure 115: Global Private (Public Safety) LTE  eNodeB Installed Base: 2011 - 2020    232
    Figure 116: Global Private (Public Safety) LTE Cell in a Box (CIAB) eNodeB Installed Base: 2011 - 2020    233
    Figure 117: Global Private (Public Safety) LTE Airborne eNodeB Installed Base: 2011 - 2020    234

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