Argentina Shipping Report Q4 2014 |
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BMI View: BMI maintains its cautiously optimistic view on the Argentine port sector. The country enjoys a
good commodities mix, but it continues to struggle with external headwinds, as well as internal difficulties
in the form of rising inflation and labour unrest. We continue to expect that Argentine real GDP will grow
0.4% in 2014, a considerable slowdown from estimated 2013's 4.9% growth. The January currency
devaluation and subsequent collapse in consumer sentiment underpin our view that real growth will slow in
2014.
Real GDP growth will slow to 0.4% in 2014, a downward revision from our earlier forecast of 1.2%, as the
impacts of the January currency devaluation weigh on private consumption and fixed investment to a
greater extent than we had originally factored in. This forecast implies a substantial slowdown from 3.0%
real GDP growth recorded in 2013.
BMI Industry View ............................................................................................................... 7
SWOT .................................................................................................................................... 9
Shipping .................................................................................................................................................. 9
Political ................................................................................................................................................. 11
Economic ............................................................................................................................................... 12
Business Environment .............................................................................................................................. 13
Industry Forecast .............................................................................................................. 15
Port Of Buenos Aires Throughput ............................................................................................................... 15
Port Of Bahía Blanca Throughput .............................................................................................................. 19
Table: Major Ports Data (Argentina 2011-2018) . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 22
Table: Trade Overview (Argentina 2011-2018) . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 23
Table: Key Trade Indicators (Argentina 2011-2018) . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 24
Table: Top Import Sources, 2005-2012 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 25
Table: Top Export Destinations, 2005-2012 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 25
Market Overview ............................................................................................................... 27
Argentina Container Shipping Market Overview ............................................................................................ 27
Industry Trends And Developments ................................................................................ 34
Company Profile ................................................................................................................ 36
Ultrapetrol ............................................................................................................................................. 36
Shipping - Global Industry View ....................................................................................... 41
Container Demand: ................................................................................................................................. 41
Container Supply: .................................................................................................................................... 49
Container Rates: ..................................................................................................................................... 55
Global Company Strategy ................................................................................................. 58
Maersk Line ........................................................................................................................................... 58
Mediterranean Shipping Company (MSC) .................................................................................................... 68
CMA CGM ............................................................................................................................................. 74
Evergreen Line ........................................................................................................................................ 85
COSCO Container Lines Company (COSCON) ............................................................................................. 93
Macroeconomic Forecasts ............................................................................................. 100
Economic Analysis ................................................................................................................................. 100
Table: GDP By Expenditure (Argentina 2011-2018) . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 107
Demographic Forecast ................................................................................................... 108
Table: Argentina's Population By Age Group, 1990-2020 ('000) . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 109
Table: Argentina's Population By Age Group, 1990-2020 (% of total) . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 110
Table: Argentina's Key Population Ratios, 1990-2020 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 111
Table: Argentina's Urban And Rural Population, 1990-2020 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 111
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Dec 2013 |
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Argentina Shipping Report Q4 2014 |
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BMI View: BMI maintains its cautiously optimistic view on the Argentine port sector. The country enjoys agood commodities mix, but it continues to struggle with external headwinds, as well as internal ...Read More |
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Bahrain's main maritime facility, the Khalifa bin Salman port, is set to continue posting solid growth figuresin 2015, especially in terms of container throughput. Volumes at the facility are rising a ...Read More |
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Jan 2015 |
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Bahrain Shipping Report Q3 2014 |
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We have a positive outlook for Bahrain's shipping sector. The country's main maritime facility, the Khalifabin Salman port, is poised to continue on its upward growth trend, posting solid growth, espe ...Read More |
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Aug 2014 |
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Bahrain Shipping Report Q4 2014 |
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Bahrain's main maritime facility, the Khalifa bin Salman port, is set to continue posting solid growth figuresin 2014, especially in terms of container throughput. Volumes at the facility are rising a ...Read More |
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Oct 2014 |
$1295.00 |
Brazil Shipping Report Q3 2014 |
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BMI View: We believe that Brazil's economic recovery will falter this year, and are revising down our 2014real GDP growth forecast from 2.4% to 2.0%, below our 2013 estimate of 2.3% growth. Indeed, fu ...Read More |
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Jun 2014 |
$0.00 |
Brazil Shipping Report Q4 2014 |
By Business Monitor International |
Brazil's weak Q114 GDP print helps confirm our view that the economy will continue to see tepid growth inthe coming years as the consumption story dims and investment has yet to pick up meaningfully. ...Read More |
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Sep 2014 |
$1295.00 |
Bulgaria Shipping Report Q3 2014 |
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2014 Growth Forecast ReducedBased on recent economic activity data BMI is rebalancing its GDP estimates and forecasts for 2013/14,against the background of a somewhat faltering economic recovery. Comp ...Read More |
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Jun 2014 |
$1295.00 |
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