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Brazil Shipping Report Q4 2014
Publication Date Sep 2014
Publisher Business Monitor International
Product Type Report
Pages 114
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Brazil's weak Q114 GDP print helps confirm our view that the economy will continue to see tepid growth in
the coming years as the consumption story dims and investment has yet to pick up meaningfully. We have
downgraded our headline real GDP growth forecasts for 2014 and 2015 to 1.8% and 2.2% respectively,
primarily owing to a weakening outlook for fixed investment.
Weakening investment and private consumption growth in Brazil's Q114 GDP release highlight the
continued challenges facing the economy, and inform our view that slow growth is here to stay for several
years. We have downgraded our 2014 and 2015 headline real GDP growth forecasts to 1.8% and 2.2%
respectively, from 2.0% and 2.4%. This implies that growth will remain broadly in line with the headline
print for Q114, which came in at 1.9% year-on-year (y-o-y), in the next few quarters.

BMI Industry View ............................................................................................................... 7
SWOT .................................................................................................................................. 10
Shipping ................................................................................................................................................ 10
Political ................................................................................................................................................. 12
Economic ............................................................................................................................................... 13
Business Environment .............................................................................................................................. 14
Industry Forecast .............................................................................................................. 15
Port Of Itajaí Throughput ......................................................................................................................... 15
Port Of Santos Throughput ........................................................................................................................ 19
Table: Major Ports Data (Brazil 2011-2018) . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 23
Table: Trade Overview (Brazil 2011-2018) . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 26
Table: Key Trade Indicators (Brazil 2011-2018) . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 27
Table: Top Import Sources, 2004-2012 (USDmn) . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 28
Table: Top Export Destinations, 2004-2012 (USDmn) . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 29
Market Overview ............................................................................................................... 30
Brazil Container Shipping Market Overview ................................................................................................. 30
Industry Trends And Developments ................................................................................ 37
Company Profile ................................................................................................................ 43
Aliança Navegação e Logística .................................................................................................................. 43
Shipping - Global Industry View ....................................................................................... 46
Container Demand: ................................................................................................................................. 46
Container Supply: .................................................................................................................................... 54
Container Rates: ..................................................................................................................................... 60
Global Company Strategy ................................................................................................. 63
Maersk Line ........................................................................................................................................... 63
Mediterranean Shipping Company (MSC) .................................................................................................... 73
CMA CGM ............................................................................................................................................. 79
Evergreen Line ........................................................................................................................................ 90
COSCO Container Lines Company (COSCON) ............................................................................................. 98
Macroeconomic Forecasts ............................................................................................. 105
Macroeconomic Forecast ........................................................................................................................ 105
Table: Brazil - Economic Activity . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 110
Demographic Forecast ................................................................................................... 111
Table: Brazil's Population By Age Group, 1990-2020 ('000) . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 112
Table: Brazil's Population By Age Group, 1990-2020 (% of total) . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 113
Table: Brazil's Key Population Ratios, 1990-2020 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 114
Table: Brazil's Rural And Urban Population, 1990-2020 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 114

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