| Argentina Shipping Report Q1 2015 |
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BMI maintains its cautiously optimistic view on the Argentine port sector. The country enjoys a good
commodities mix, but it continues to struggle with external headwinds, as well as internal difficulties in the
form of rising inflation and labour unrest. Real GDP growth in Argentina will remain weak in 2015,
following a notable slowdown in the economy in 2014 due to the impacts of the country's January 23
currency devaluation. We forecast real GDP to expand by 1.7% in 2015, a downward revision from our
previous forecast of 3.1%.
We forecast net exports to subtract 0.2percentage points (pp) from headline growth in 2015, an
improvement from the forecasted 0.6pp drag on growth in 2014. Weaker private consumption will dampen
imports, while a weaker exchange rate will marginally improve the competitiveness of exports, with knock
on effects for port volumes.
BMI Industry View ............................................................................................................... 7
Argentina - Q115 ...................................................................................................................................... 7
SWOT ................................................................................................................................... 9
Argentina - Q115 ...................................................................................................................................... 9
Political ................................................................................................................................................ 11
Economic .............................................................................................................................................. 12
Business Environment .............................................................................................................................. 13
Industry Forecast .............................................................................................................. 14
Port Of Buenos Aires Throughput ............................................................................................................... 14
Port Of Bahía Blanca Throughput .............................................................................................................. 18
Table: Major Ports Data (Argentina 2011-2018) . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 21
Table: Trade Overview (Argentina 2011-2018) . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 23
Table: Key Trade Indicators (Argentina 2011-2018) . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 23
Table: Top Import Sources, 2005-2012 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 24
Table: Top Export Destinations, 2005-2012 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 25
Market Overview ............................................................................................................... 26
Argentina - Q115 .................................................................................................................................... 26
Industry Trends And Developments ................................................................................ 33
Argentina - Q115 .................................................................................................................................... 33
Company Profile ................................................................................................................ 35
Ultrapetrol ............................................................................................................................................ 35
Shipping - Global Industry View ....................................................................................... 40
Container Shipping Demand: ..................................................................................................................... 40
Container Shipping Supply: ....................................................................................................................... 48
Table: Alliance Overview . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 52
Container Shipping Rates: Fuel Surcharges To Kick Off 2015 .......................................................................... 54
Global Company Strategy ................................................................................................. 58
Maersk Line .......................................................................................................................................... 58
Mediterranean Shipping Company (MSC) .................................................................................................... 69
CMA CGM ............................................................................................................................................ 76
Evergreen Line ....................................................................................................................................... 88
COSCO Container Lines Company (COSCON) ............................................................................................. 96
Macroeconomic Forecasts ............................................................................................. 104
Macroeconomic Forecast ........................................................................................................................ 104
Table: Economic Activity (Argentina 2009-2018) . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 109
Demographic Forecast ................................................................................................... 110
Table: Population Headline Indicators (Argentina 1990-2025) . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 111
Table: Key Population Ratios (Argentina 1990-2025) . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 111
Table: Urban/Rural Population & Life Expectancy (Argentina 1990-2025) . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 112
Table: Population By Age Group (Argentina 1990-2025) . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 112
Table: Population By Age Group % (Argentina 1990-2025) . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 113
| Title |
Date |
Price |
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|
Dec 2013 |
$125.00 |
| Argentina Shipping Report Q1 2015 |
| By Business Monitor International |
| BMI maintains its cautiously optimistic view on the Argentine port sector. The country enjoys a goodcommodities mix, but it continues to struggle with external headwinds, as well as internal difficult ...Read More |
|
Nov 2014 |
$1295.00 |
| Argentina Shipping Report Q4 2014 |
| By Business Monitor International |
| BMI View: BMI maintains its cautiously optimistic view on the Argentine port sector. The country enjoys agood commodities mix, but it continues to struggle with external headwinds, as well as internal ...Read More |
|
Sep 2014 |
$1295.00 |
| Australia Shipping Report Q1 2015 |
| By Business Monitor International |
| In 2015, we expect to see a not too dissimilar growth picture than 12 months previous across the country'smajor ports. Welcome news does arrive from the fact that we have revised up our real GDP growt ...Read More |
|
Nov 2014 |
$1295.00 |
| Bahrain Shipping Report Q1 2015 |
| By Business Monitor International |
| Bahrain's main maritime facility, the Khalifa bin Salman port, is set to continue posting solid growth figuresin 2015, especially in terms of container throughput. Volumes at the facility are rising a ...Read More |
|
Jan 2015 |
$1295.00 |
| Bahrain Shipping Report Q3 2014 |
| By Business Monitor International |
| We have a positive outlook for Bahrain's shipping sector. The country's main maritime facility, the Khalifabin Salman port, is poised to continue on its upward growth trend, posting solid growth, espe ...Read More |
|
Aug 2014 |
$1295.00 |
| Bahrain Shipping Report Q4 2014 |
| By Business Monitor International |
| Bahrain's main maritime facility, the Khalifa bin Salman port, is set to continue posting solid growth figuresin 2014, especially in terms of container throughput. Volumes at the facility are rising a ...Read More |
|
Oct 2014 |
$1295.00 |
| Brazil Shipping Report Q3 2014 |
| By Business Monitor International |
| BMI View: We believe that Brazil's economic recovery will falter this year, and are revising down our 2014real GDP growth forecast from 2.4% to 2.0%, below our 2013 estimate of 2.3% growth. Indeed, fu ...Read More |
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Jun 2014 |
$0.00 |
| Brazil Shipping Report Q4 2014 |
| By Business Monitor International |
| Brazil's weak Q114 GDP print helps confirm our view that the economy will continue to see tepid growth inthe coming years as the consumption story dims and investment has yet to pick up meaningfully. ...Read More |
|
Sep 2014 |
$1295.00 |
| Bulgaria Shipping Report Q3 2014 |
| By Business Monitor International |
| 2014 Growth Forecast ReducedBased on recent economic activity data BMI is rebalancing its GDP estimates and forecasts for 2013/14,against the background of a somewhat faltering economic recovery. Comp ...Read More |
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Jun 2014 |
$1295.00 |
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