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Thailand Renewables Report Q1 2015
Publication Date Dec 2014
Product Type Report
Pages 42
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BMI View: We are maintaining our short and long-term forecasts for non-hydropower renewables
generation and capacity in Thailand this quarter as our assumptions remain relevant. Growth in 2015 will
be driven largely by the solar sector as conditions for commercial and residential solar energy remain
attractive. Meanwhile, our sanguine long-term outlook can be attributed to the unsustainable nature of the
country's current energy mix and the increasingly attractive regulatory conditions for renewable.
We are maintaining our 2015 forecasts for non-hydropower renewables generation and capacity in Thailand
this quarter as our assumptions remain relevant. Growth in 2015 will be driven largely by the solar sector,
with the wind and biomass sectors playing second fiddle. We are also maintaining our long-term forecasts
this quarter, and are forecasting non-hydropower renewables generation to grow by an average of 10.2% per
annum between 2015 and 2023. Our sanguine long-term outlook can be attributed to the unsustainable
nature of the country's current energy mix and the increasingly attractive regulatory conditions for
renewables. Developments within Thailand's Renewables industry include:n July 16 2013, the government
introduced a new feed-in tariff (FiT) programme for rooftop and village-based solar energy projects
completed before 2015. Under the new system, up to 1,000MW of projects would qualify for 25-year power
purchase agreements, with tariffs as high as THB9.75/kWh.

BMI Industry View ............................................................................................................... 7
SWOT ................................................................................................................................... 8
Industry Forecast .............................................................................................................. 10
Thailand Renewables Forecast Scenario ...................................................................................................... 10
Table: Thailand's Total Electricity Generation, Data And Forecasts, 2012-2017 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 10
Table: Thailand's Total Electricity Generation, Long-Term Forecasts, 2018-2023 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 11
Table: Thailand's Electricity Generating Capacity, Data And Forecasts, 2012-2017 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 13
Table: Thailand's Electricity Generating Capacity, Long-Term Forecasts, 2018-2023 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 14
Table: Feed-In Tariffs And Adder Programme For Solar Energy . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 17
Table: New Renewable Energy Targets - 2013 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 20
Thailand Renewables Projects Database ...................................................................................................... 21
Table: Thailand Major Projects - Renewables . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 21
Industry Risk Reward Index ............................................................................................. 25
Industry Risk/Reward Index ....................................................................................................................... 25
Rewards .............................................................................................................................................. 25
Risks ................................................................................................................................................... 25
Market Overview ............................................................................................................... 27
Sustainable Energy Policy And Infrastructure ............................................................................................... 27
Targets (Renewables And Emissions) ......................................................................................................... 27
Subsidies ............................................................................................................................................. 27
Table: Renewable Feed-In Tariffs In Thailand, 2010 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 28
Table: Residential Solar Feed-In Tariffs In Thailand, 2013 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 30
Infrastructure ....................................................................................................................................... 30
Competitive Landscape .................................................................................................... 32
Electricity Generating Authority Of Thailand (EGAT) ................................................................................... 32
EGCO ................................................................................................................................................. 33
Glow Energy ........................................................................................................................................ 33
Ratchaburi Electricity Generating Holding Public Company Ltd (RATCH) ....................................................... 34
Wind Energy Holdings (WEH) .................................................................................................................. 34
Glossary ............................................................................................................................. 35
Table: Glossary Of Terms . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 35
Methodology ...................................................................................................................... 36
Methodology And Sources ......................................................................................................................... 36
Industry Forecast Methodology ................................................................................................................ 36
Sources ............................................................................................................................................... 38
Risk/Reward Index Methodology ............................................................................................................... 38
Table: Renewables Risk/Reward Index Indicators . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 40
Table: Weighting Indicators . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 42

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