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Japan Shipping Report Q1 2015
Publication Date Jan 2015
Product Type Report
Pages 133
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In terms of the shipping picture in Japan, 2015 will see the port of Nagoya leading the way with tonnage
growth of 3.0% and containers handled growing by 2.8%, both numbers significantly ahead of domestic
GDP. Among the other seaports, Tokyo will also fare well, with tonnage growth of 2.0% and box handling
up by 3.8%. The improvement will come despite a slight slowdown in foreign trade growth, to 4.1% in
2015 after an estimated 4.7% in the preceding year.
BMI is bearish on Japan's economic prospects in 2015, with aggressively below-consensus projections for
the economy. While some predict 3.0% GDP growth our forecast is for expansion of only 0.8%, down on an
estimated 0.9% in 2014. We attribute this disappointing outlook to the steep fall of the Yen versus the
currencies of Japan's main trading partners and the sales tax hike in April 2014. GDP fell quarter-on-quarter
(q-o-q) in Q214 and Q314, pushing the economy into technical recession. We continue to believe the
government's quantitative easing (QE) efforts are counter productive, boosting inflation but not lifting
purchasing power by consumers. Similarly, a weaker yen is good for exporters but not for domestic
purchasing power. The key problem is that real wages continue to decline.

BMI Industry View ............................................................................................................... 7
SWOT ................................................................................................................................... 9
Shipping ................................................................................................................................................. 9
Political ................................................................................................................................................ 11
Economic .............................................................................................................................................. 12
Industry Forecast .............................................................................................................. 13
Port of Tokyo Throughput ......................................................................................................................... 13
Port of Yokohama Throughput ................................................................................................................... 17
Table: Major Ports Data (Japan 2011-2018) . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 22
Table: Trade Overview (Japan 2011-2018) . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 23
Table: Key Trade Indicators (Japan 2011-2018) . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 24
Table: Top Import Destinations, 2004-2012, USDmn . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 25
Table: Top Export Destinations, 2004-2012, USDmn . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 26
Market Overview ............................................................................................................... 28
Japan Container Shipping Market Overview ................................................................................................. 28
Industry Trends And Developments ................................................................................ 34
Japan Company Profile ..................................................................................................... 38
Kawasaki Kisen Kaisha, Ltd (K Line) .......................................................................................................... 38
NYK Container Line ................................................................................................................................ 41
Nippon Yusen Kaisha (NYK Line) Tankers .................................................................................................... 45
NYK (Dry Bulk) ...................................................................................................................................... 52
Mitsui OSK Lines ................................................................................................................................... 57
Shipping - Global Industry View ....................................................................................... 66
Container Shipping Demand: ..................................................................................................................... 66
Container Shipping Supply: ....................................................................................................................... 74
Table: Alliance Overview . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 79
Container Shipping Rates: Fuel Surcharges To Kick Off 2015 .......................................................................... 80
Global Company Strategy ................................................................................................. 84
Maersk Line .......................................................................................................................................... 84
Mediterranean Shipping Company (MSC) .................................................................................................... 94
CMA CGM .......................................................................................................................................... 100
Evergreen Line ..................................................................................................................................... 112
COSCO Container Lines Company (COSCON) ........................................................................................... 119
Macroeconomic Forecasts ............................................................................................. 127
Economic Analysis ................................................................................................................................ 127
Table: Economic Activity (Japan 2009-2018) . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 129
Demographic Forecast ................................................................................................... 130
Table: Population Headline Indicators (Japan 1990-2025) . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 131
Table: Key Population Ratios (Japan 1990-2025) . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 131
Table: Urban/Rural Population & Life Expectancy (Japan 1990-2025) . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 132
Table: Population By Age Group (Japan 1990-2025) . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 132
Table: Population By Age Group % (Japan 1990-2025) . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 133

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Published By :  Business Monitor International

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