| South Africa Shipping Report Q1 2015 |
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Growth at South African ports is threatened by the global headwinds that are posing challenges for the
country as a whole, namely the China slowdown and the drying up of foreign inflows due to the raised
possibility that the extraordinarily loose monetary policy that has been the norm in the US is tapered off.
However, with continued investment in facilities, growth in private final consumption, and ever-expanding
coal exports, we forecast growth in both total tonnage and container volumes at South African ports in
2015.
Headline Industry Data
? Richards Bay Port tonnage throughput in 2015 is forecast to return to growth at 2.0% following a 2014
decline. Over the medium term to 2019 we project a 2.2% average annual increase.
? Port of Durban container throughput is forecast to grow by 2.5% in 2015. Growth will average 3.2% per
annum in the medium-term forecast period to 2019.
? 2015 total trade growth is forecast at 4.3%, and to average 4.4% per annum to 2019.
BMI Industry View ............................................................................................................... 7
SWOT ................................................................................................................................... 9
Shipping ................................................................................................................................................. 9
Political ................................................................................................................................................ 10
Economic .............................................................................................................................................. 11
Industry Forecast .............................................................................................................. 12
Port Of Durban Throughput ...................................................................................................................... 12
Port Of Richards Bay Throughput ............................................................................................................... 16
Table: Major Ports Data, (South Africa 2012-2018) . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 19
Table: Trade Overview (South Africa 2011-2018) . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 22
Table: Key Trade Indicators (South Africa 2011-2018) . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 22
Table: South Africa's Main Import Partners, 2004-2012 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 23
Table: South Africa's Main Export Partners, 2004-2012 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 24
Market Overview ............................................................................................................... 26
South Africa Container Shipping Market Overview ........................................................................................ 26
Industry Trends And Developments ................................................................................ 34
South Africa Company Profile .......................................................................................... 38
Safmarine ............................................................................................................................................. 38
Deutsche Afrika-Linien (DAL) .................................................................................................................... 42
Shipping - Global Industry View ....................................................................................... 44
Container Shipping Demand: ..................................................................................................................... 44
Container Shipping Supply: ....................................................................................................................... 52
Table: Alliance Overview . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 57
Container Shipping Rates: Fuel Surcharges To Kick Off 2015 .......................................................................... 58
Global Company Strategy ................................................................................................. 62
Maersk Line .......................................................................................................................................... 62
Mediterranean Shipping Company (MSC) .................................................................................................... 72
CMA CGM ............................................................................................................................................ 78
Evergreen Line ....................................................................................................................................... 90
COSCO Container Lines Company (COSCON) ............................................................................................. 97
Macroeconomic Forecasts ............................................................................................. 105
Economic Analysis ................................................................................................................................ 105
Table: Real GDP Growth, % chg q-o-q, SAAR . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 105
Table: Economic Activity (South Africa 2009-2018) . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 110
Demographic Forecast ................................................................................................... 111
Table: Population Headline Indicators (South Africa 1990-2025) . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 112
Table: Key Population Ratios (South Africa 1990-2025) . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 112
Table: Urban/Rural Population & Life Expectancy (South Africa 1990-2025) . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 113
Table: Population By Age Group (South Africa 1990-2025) . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 113
Table: Population By Age Group % (South Africa 1990-2025) . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 114
| Title |
Date |
Price |
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Dec 2013 |
$125.00 |
| Argentina Shipping Report Q1 2015 |
| By Business Monitor International |
| BMI maintains its cautiously optimistic view on the Argentine port sector. The country enjoys a goodcommodities mix, but it continues to struggle with external headwinds, as well as internal difficult ...Read More |
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Nov 2014 |
$1295.00 |
| Argentina Shipping Report Q4 2014 |
| By Business Monitor International |
| BMI View: BMI maintains its cautiously optimistic view on the Argentine port sector. The country enjoys agood commodities mix, but it continues to struggle with external headwinds, as well as internal ...Read More |
|
Sep 2014 |
$1295.00 |
| Australia Shipping Report Q1 2015 |
| By Business Monitor International |
| In 2015, we expect to see a not too dissimilar growth picture than 12 months previous across the country'smajor ports. Welcome news does arrive from the fact that we have revised up our real GDP growt ...Read More |
|
Nov 2014 |
$1295.00 |
| Bahrain Shipping Report Q1 2015 |
| By Business Monitor International |
| Bahrain's main maritime facility, the Khalifa bin Salman port, is set to continue posting solid growth figuresin 2015, especially in terms of container throughput. Volumes at the facility are rising a ...Read More |
|
Jan 2015 |
$1295.00 |
| Bahrain Shipping Report Q3 2014 |
| By Business Monitor International |
| We have a positive outlook for Bahrain's shipping sector. The country's main maritime facility, the Khalifabin Salman port, is poised to continue on its upward growth trend, posting solid growth, espe ...Read More |
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Aug 2014 |
$1295.00 |
| Bahrain Shipping Report Q4 2014 |
| By Business Monitor International |
| Bahrain's main maritime facility, the Khalifa bin Salman port, is set to continue posting solid growth figuresin 2014, especially in terms of container throughput. Volumes at the facility are rising a ...Read More |
|
Oct 2014 |
$1295.00 |
| Brazil Shipping Report Q3 2014 |
| By Business Monitor International |
| BMI View: We believe that Brazil's economic recovery will falter this year, and are revising down our 2014real GDP growth forecast from 2.4% to 2.0%, below our 2013 estimate of 2.3% growth. Indeed, fu ...Read More |
|
Jun 2014 |
$0.00 |
| Brazil Shipping Report Q4 2014 |
| By Business Monitor International |
| Brazil's weak Q114 GDP print helps confirm our view that the economy will continue to see tepid growth inthe coming years as the consumption story dims and investment has yet to pick up meaningfully. ...Read More |
|
Sep 2014 |
$1295.00 |
| Bulgaria Shipping Report Q3 2014 |
| By Business Monitor International |
| 2014 Growth Forecast ReducedBased on recent economic activity data BMI is rebalancing its GDP estimates and forecasts for 2013/14,against the background of a somewhat faltering economic recovery. Comp ...Read More |
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Jun 2014 |
$1295.00 |
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