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Canada Renewables Report Q1 2015
Publication Date Jan 2015
Product Type Report
Pages 47
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BMI View: On paper, Canada is an excellent candidate for non-hydro renewable development; with vast
wind resources, plenty of land to construct wind farms, a national commitment to rid itself of coal fired
electrical generation and a safe investment climate. However the country's huge hydro electrical capacities,
and truncated constitutional arrangements which leave emissions targets with the federal government and
precise energy mix policies with provincial jurisdictions, has created a patchwork quilt of markets and
policies across the country. Add to that mix the national reliance on oil and gas as a major source of its
wealth and renewables are destined to play a minor role in the Canadian energy story.
Canada does provide opportunities, especially in the emerging in-stream tidal sector and wind, but is a
laggard in adopting other renewable technologies at scale.
Non-hydro renewable power generation is forecast to rise at a respectable rate of 8.70% in 2015. However,
this is starting from a very low point. Only 5.5% of all electrical generation in Canada will come from nonhydro
renewables in 2015, reaching 7.35% in 2020. Most of that capacity is from wind, although there is a
relatively good potential for in stream tidal to begin to make a mark by 2020.

BMI Industry View ............................................................................................................... 5
SWOT ................................................................................................................................... 7
Industry Forecast ................................................................................................................ 9
Canada Renewables Forecast Scenario ......................................................................................................... 9
Table: Canada Total Electricity Generation Historical Data And Forecasts, 2012-2017 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 9
Table: Canada Total Electricity Generation Long Term Forecasts, 2018-2023 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 10
Table: Canada Electricity Generating Capacity, Historical Data And Forecasts, 2012-2017 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 12
Table: Canada Electricity Generating Capacity Long Term Forecasts, 2018 - 2023 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 13
Table: Canada Geothermal Projects . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 21
Canada Renewables Projects Database ....................................................................................................... 24
Table: Canada - Renewables Projects . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 24
Industry Risk Reward Index ............................................................................................. 27
Canada Renewables Risk/Reward Index ....................................................................................................... 27
Rewards .............................................................................................................................................. 27
Risks ................................................................................................................................................... 28
Market Overview ............................................................................................................... 29
Sustainable Energy Policy and Infrastructure ............................................................................................... 29
Targets ............................................................................................................................................... 29
Subsidies ............................................................................................................................................. 30
Table: Renewable Feed-In Tariffs In Canada, 2010 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 31
Infrastructure ....................................................................................................................................... 33
Competitive Landscape .................................................................................................... 35
Glossary ............................................................................................................................. 41
Table: Glossary Of Terms . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 41
Methodology ...................................................................................................................... 42
Methodology And Sources ......................................................................................................................... 42
Industry Forecast Methodology ................................................................................................................ 42
Sources ............................................................................................................................................... 44
Risk/Reward Index Methodology ............................................................................................................... 44
Table: Renewables Risk/Reward Index Indicators . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 46
Table: Weighting Indicators . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 47

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